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    Motorcraft Battery Switch Cable is provided with corrosion resistant terminal ends. It is factory crimped and shrink-wrapped to protect from...

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    Motorcraft
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    Motorcraft Battery Switch Cable is provided with corrosion resistant terminal ends. It is factory crimped and shrink-wrapped to protect from...

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    Motorcraft
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    Motorcraft Battery Switch Cable is provided with corrosion resistant terminal ends. It is factory crimped and shrink-wrapped to protect from...

Analyst Sees Stable Oil Prices for 20 Years, More suvs and Big Cars Ahead

Americans may not be moving to small cars, hybrids and battery electrics quite as fast as environmentalists have hoped, says the forecaster CSM Worldwide .

As the climate talks get underway in Denmark , all eyes are focused on how to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The EPA says cars and trucks are more than 23 percent of U.S. climate emissions, so that’s a major focus. But to get Americans out of big gas guzzlers, CSM says, fuel prices would have to rise significantly (as they did last year, to $4 a gallon).

 “But we don’t expect to see $140 a barrel oil again for another 20 years,” said George Augustaitis , CSM market analyst for North American vehicle sales. He said that when the price reaches $110 to $120, it becomes economical to start drilling again, and to invest in alternative sources such as oil shale and tar sands.

“Our research shows that when oil prices went above $130, oil companies were pumping out as much as possible to make money on it, which caused the supply to rise,” said Augustaitis. But higher prices made the demand go down, and that depressed prices. Another factor keeping prices down is new discoveries—we should see more reserves coming on line in the next few years.”

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